Microsoft has conceded defeat in its battle to ship three million hardware units within the first three months on sale, as detailed in a report in yesterday's Financial Times.
Xbox 360 chief Peter Moore explained, "Nothing's perfect - you've got a complex piece of hardware that includes 1,700 different parts. Every now and again the line will slow down because something's happened and there'll be a component that didn't make it that morning. That's just the way of the beast, particularly when you are ramping up factories from ground zero all the way up to full capacity."
Microsoft has offered revised targets, likely in an attempt to appease publishers unable to fill their own sales projections, of sales of between 4 and 5.5 million units in time for its year end in June.
In the meantime the shortage of Xbox 360 hardware is unlikely to ease, with only a small number of units trickling through to retail stores in the US and Europe. Reports suggest that, aside from Japan, Canada has the healthiest reserves at time of press.
Current estimates put Microsoft at around 1.4 million hardware units shipped between launch and the beginning of January, not a bad figure by any means, but still way short of the potential sales afforded to the new console by rampant demand in the western world.
The potential threat Microsoft now faces is opening the door for Sony – early sales were essential – first-mover advantage was something the Redmond software giant touted to press, analysts and publishing partners as being one of the key elements that would make the 360 the dominant force in gaming.
The most serious problem facing Microsoft right now is a simple lack of time. Every day 360 hardware isn't on shelves is another day consumers retain a console-purchasing amount of cash. Every day the Xbox 360 gets older, loses its mystery, becomes another console. And every day is a day closer to these elements combining in Sony's favour. A demand for hardware and a demand for something new combined with readily available cash and a devastating Sony marketing campaign will no doubt see more and more consumers willing to wait and see what the PlayStation 3 has to offer.
Microsoft has a great console and enjoys a great level of demand for it. It has loyal fans and a strong brand. The only thing it seems not to have is time.