ELSPA way off the mark, or is this how it’s going to be?

It's a story of 20:20... read on

Posted by Staff
ELSPA, the European Leisure Software Publishers’ Association, has released a report detailing how it sees the next generation console market shaping up across the world.

Described as a “spot of crystal ball gazing” by The Register, the report makes interesting reading. ELSPA is probably the first organisation to really rate highly Microsoft’s chances of success in the home console market.

ELSPA sees the market split in Europe like this: By the end of 2004, the PlayStation 2 will have 47% of the market, compared with 33% for the X-Box, leaving the GameCube with only 20%. ELSPA’s forecast predicts that the European consumer base will be more impressed with the X-Box, and it’s DVD capabilities, than the GameCube. Can this be right?

ELSPA also believes that the X-Box will sell 10.99 million units before 2004, compared to 15.65 million for PlayStation 2, leaving the GameCube selling a mere 6.6 million.

The report indicates that in the States and Japan, the GameCube will fare better, occupying 32% and 35% of each market respectively.

ELSPA is wildly optimistic about the X-Box chance of success in the Land of the Rising Sun. It predicts that 20% of installed home consoles in Japan will be Microsoft machines, a forecast we find difficult to believe in. This suggests that the Japanese are as interested in the Xbox as we are in the GameCube, which, let’s face it, is absolute nonsense.

The level of anticipation for the GameCube in Europe is huge and, in our opinion, much higher than it is for the X-box. To state that our level of anticipation for the GameCube is equal to the Japanese anticipation of the X-Box is madness. We challenge anyone to find a Japanese article, comment or website that speaks with anything more than suspicion about Microsoft’s console. They are simply not interested.

We may be proved wrong, we hope we are proved right, but, as ever, it’s down to you. Which is a shame considering your pathetic support of the Dreamcast.
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