Pachter: Sony's Move Numbers Actually Closer to 2.5m
Microsoft has the edge, apparently.
Sure, Sony already told the world that it has "sold" 4.1 million PlayStation Move controllers, putting it some distance ahead of the 2.5 million Kinects sold worldwide. But after clarifying that it simply meant units shipped, not sold, the race is on to guess just how many Moves Sony has really sold to customers.
As always, Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter thinks he has the answer. He described the actual number of PlayStation Moves sold as neck-and-neck with Microsoft's motion camera device.
"I understand that they sold through around one million through the end of October (tracking NPD results and extrapolating for Europe), and it's reasonable that with the Japanese launch they have sold through another 1.5 million in November, but I'd peg the sell through number at closer to 2.5 million, or exactly on par with Kinect, albeit over a longer time frame," Pachter told Eurogamer.
"If sell-through is the 2.5 million that I estimate, it's logical that shipments would be 4.1 million cumulatively, as demand in December is likely to be higher than the 1.5 million I assumed were sold in November. Yes, impressive, yet likely below the reported figure."
Impressive, yes, but considering that PlayStation Move launched in late September, compared to Kinect which was only released last month and it appears that, should Pachter be correct, Microsoft's device is selling at a greater speed than Sony's. The analyst takes it one step further and states that he believes the Xbox 360 has the edge this Christmas.
"I think that Microsoft still has an advantage at holiday, with a larger installed base of consoles, more momentum, and a slightly more unique experience. So I would expect Kinect to outsell Move in December."
Dude be crystal ballin'. What do you think, readers?
As always, Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter thinks he has the answer. He described the actual number of PlayStation Moves sold as neck-and-neck with Microsoft's motion camera device.
"I understand that they sold through around one million through the end of October (tracking NPD results and extrapolating for Europe), and it's reasonable that with the Japanese launch they have sold through another 1.5 million in November, but I'd peg the sell through number at closer to 2.5 million, or exactly on par with Kinect, albeit over a longer time frame," Pachter told Eurogamer.
"If sell-through is the 2.5 million that I estimate, it's logical that shipments would be 4.1 million cumulatively, as demand in December is likely to be higher than the 1.5 million I assumed were sold in November. Yes, impressive, yet likely below the reported figure."
Impressive, yes, but considering that PlayStation Move launched in late September, compared to Kinect which was only released last month and it appears that, should Pachter be correct, Microsoft's device is selling at a greater speed than Sony's. The analyst takes it one step further and states that he believes the Xbox 360 has the edge this Christmas.
"I think that Microsoft still has an advantage at holiday, with a larger installed base of consoles, more momentum, and a slightly more unique experience. So I would expect Kinect to outsell Move in December."
Dude be crystal ballin'. What do you think, readers?
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Comments
ashbee007 1 Dec 2010 23:20
1/6
Microsoft has an advantage because they are doing so much marketing for the Kinect, everywhere I turn is either a commercial or banner for Kinect. But, Sony is all word of mouth..and over time people will come to realize a much better game. Kinect should be for kids 10 and under and Move for the rest of the population.
JOHN 2 Dec 2010 00:49
2/6
Why are we comparing Playstation Move controllers to Kinect sensors?
A consumer could buy 4 Move wands for their PS3. This gives us no idea of what size the install base is for Move games.
This would be like comparing Dualshock sales versus Xbox 360 console sales.
A consumer could buy 4 Move wands for their PS3. This gives us no idea of what size the install base is for Move games.
This would be like comparing Dualshock sales versus Xbox 360 console sales.
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Asd 2 Dec 2010 11:24
3/6
@ashbee007
You really don't have a clue do you.....
You really don't have a clue do you.....
Michael 2 Dec 2010 15:11
4/6
Most will buy 1 or 2 Sony Move controllers.. very few will buy more until more software comes out for Move. So if your looking to guess the install base I would say about 60-70% have 1 and 30-40% have 2.
Microsoft is spending Half a Billion (Yes Billion) dollars on advertising for their Camera. This will boost numbers way beyond what would of sold without it.
Install base in US (ONLY US) for 360 is larger then PS3 but in the rest of the world it is the other way around, PS3/Move outsells 360/Kinect everywhere else.
We all know Sony Move is the best of all technologies and has the most abilities... so even though both are selling about the same, The best is Sony like always.
Microsoft is spending Half a Billion (Yes Billion) dollars on advertising for their Camera. This will boost numbers way beyond what would of sold without it.
Install base in US (ONLY US) for 360 is larger then PS3 but in the rest of the world it is the other way around, PS3/Move outsells 360/Kinect everywhere else.
We all know Sony Move is the best of all technologies and has the most abilities... so even though both are selling about the same, The best is Sony like always.
ashbee007 3 Dec 2010 01:10
5/6
@Asd I have lots of clues...Clue 1...Who needs help opening their juice box?
ashbee007 3 Dec 2010 19:59
6/6
@JOHN I agree with you..The only reason people are comparing them, is because they are the two newest gaming devices that are trying to win all the holiday "BUYS." In all honesty, all that should matter is which you prefer..motion control or sensory.